Психология оценки и принятия решений
Шрифт:
Savage, L. J. (1954). The foundations of statistics.New York: Wiley. Schelling, T. (1971). The ecology of micromotives. Public Interest, 25,61—98. Schelling, Т. С (1981). Economic reasoning and the ethics of policy. Public
Interest, 63,37—61.
Schkade, D. A., Johnson, E. J. (1989). Cognitive processes in preference reversals. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 44,203—231. Schlenker, B. R., Miller, R. S. (1977). Egocentrism in groups: Self-serving biases or logical information processing? Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 35,755-764. Schmemann, S. (1985, March 3). The emergence of Gorbachev. New York
Times Magazine,pp. 40, 44—46, 55—57.
Schoemaker, P. J. H. (1982). The expected utility model: Its variants, purposes, evidence and limitations. Journal of Economic Literature, 20,529—563.
345
Schum, D. (1990). Discussion. In R. M. Hogarth (Ed.), Insights in decision making: A tribute to Hillel J. Einhorn.Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
Schuman, H., Pressor, S. (1981). Questions and answers in attitude surveys: Experiments on question form, wording, and context.Orlando, FL: Academic Press.
Schuman, H., Scott, J. (1987). Problems in the use of survey questions to measure public opinion. Science, 236,957—959.
Schwarz, N., Hippler, H., Deutsch, В., Strack, S. (1985). Response scales: Effects of category range on reported behavior and comparative judgments. Public Opinion Quarterly, 49,388—395.
Seligman, M. E. P., Abramson, L. Y., Semmel, A, von Baeyer, C. (1979). Depressive attributional style. Journal of Abnormal Psychology, 88,242—247.
Selvin, S. (1975, February). A problem in probability. American Statistician,p. 67.
Shaklee, H., Fischhoff, B. (1990). The psychology of contraceptive surprises: Cumulative risk and contraceptive effectiveness. Journal of Applied Social Psychology, 20,385—403.
Shaklee, H., Mims, M. (1982). Sources of error in judging event covariations: Effects of memory demands. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 8,208—224.
Shaklee, H., Tucker, D. (1980). A rule analysis of judgments of covariation between events. Memory, Cognition, 8,459—467.
Shenkel, R J., Snyder, С R., Batson, C. D., Clark, G. M. (1979). Effects of prior diagnostic information on clinicians' causal attributions of a client's problems. Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology, 47,404—406.
Sherif, M., Taub, D., Hovland, C. I. (1958). Assimilation and contrast effects of anchoring stimuli on judgments. Journal of Experimental Psychology, 55,150-155.
Sherman, S. J., Cialdini, R. В., Schwartzman, D. F., Reynolds, K. D. (1985). Imagining can heighten or lower the perceived likelihood of contracting a disease: The mediating effect of ease of imagery. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 11,118—127.
Sherman, S. J., Gorkin, L. (1980). Attitude bolstering when behavior is inconsistent with central attitudes. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 16,388-403.
Sherman, S. J., Zehner, K. S., Johnson, J., Hirt, E. R. (1983). Social explanation: The role of timing, set and recall on subjective likelihood estimates. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 44,1127—1143.
Shubic, M. (1971). The Dollar Auction game: A paradox in noncooperative behavior and escalation. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 15,109—111.
Sieber, J. E. (1974). Effects of decision importance on ability to generate warranted subjective uncertainty. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 30,688-694.
346
Simon, H. A. (1956). Rational choice and the structure of the environment. Psychological Review, 63,129—138.
Skinner, B. F. (1980). Notebooks.Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice-Hall.
Slovic, P. (1975). Choice between equally valued alternatives. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance, 1,280—287.
Slovic, P. (1987). Perception of risk. Science, 236,280—285.
Slovic, P., Fischhoff, B. (1977). On the psychology of experimental surprises. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance, 3,544—551.
Slovic, P., Fischhoff, В., Lichtenstein, S. (1979, April). Rating the risks. Environment,pp. 14—20, 36—39.
Slovic, P., Fischhoff, В., Lichtenstein, S. (1982a). Facts versus fears: Understanding perceived risk. In D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, A. Tversky (Eds.), Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases.Cambridge, England: Cambridge University Press.
Slovic, P., Fischhoff, В., Lichtenstein, S. (1982b). Response mode, framing, and information-processing effects in risk assessment. In R. M. Hogarth (Ed.). New directions for methodology of social and behavioral science: Question framing and response consistency(No. 11). San Francisco: Jossey-Bass.
Slovic, P., Griffin, D., Tversky, A. (1990). Compatibility effects judgment and choice. In R. M. Hogarth (Ed.), Insights in decision making: A tribute to HUM J. Einhorn.Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
Slovic, P., Lichtenstein, S. (1983). Preference reversals: A broader perspective. American Economic Review, 73,596—605.
Smedslund, J. (1963). The concept of correlation in adults. Scandinavian Journal of Psychology, 4,165—173.
Smith, J. F., Kida, T. (1991). Heuristics and biases: Expertise and task realism in auditing. Psychological Bulletin, 109,472—489.
Smith, T. W. (1984). Nonattitudes: A review and evaluation. In C. F. Turner E. Martin (Eds.), Surveying subjective phenomena(Vol. 2). New York: Russell Sage Foundation.
Sniezek, J. A. (1989). An examination of group process in judgmental forecasting. International Journal of Forecasting, 5,171—178.